present value


Suppose you are going to receive $10,000, to be paid in two payments at the end of the next two years. You have the following two options

options year 1 year 2
option 1 $6,000 $4,000
option 2 $4,000 $6,000

Whichoptionwouldyouselectinordertohavethemaximumgain?Ofcourse,ifthereisnointerest,bothoptionsareequal.Ifanynon-zerointerestratesareinvolved,oneoptionmaybepreferablethantheother.Bycalculatingthepresent valuesoftheseoptions,onemaybeabletocomparethe``present′′valuesofthesepaymentsandfigureoutwhichisthepreferableoption.Sowhatisapresent value?𝐃𝐞𝐟𝐢𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧.LetPbetheamountofapaymentatsometimet¿0inthefuture.thenthepresent valuePV(P)ofPissimplythevalueofthispaymentattimet=0.Specifically,iftheinterestratefrom0totisr,thenPV(P)=P1+r.Inotherwords,ifweinvestPV(P)today,earninganinterestatarateofrbetweentimes0andt,thenattimet,wewouldhavemadeP.Now,supposeintheexampleabove,bothoptionshaveaneffectiveannualinterestrate(http://planetmath.org/InterestRate)of5%compoundedannually(http://planetmath.org/CompoundInterest),thenthepresentvalueofoption1is$6,0001.05+$4,000(1.05)2$9,342.40whereasthesecondoptionhaspresentvalue$4,0001.05+$6,000(1.05)2$9,251.70Clearly,thefirstoptionissuperiorthanthesecondone.𝐑𝐞𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐬. • Of course, the result will be the same if one instead computes the future values of these options, which are the values of the payments at a specific future time > t 0 : if payment is valued at P at time 0 , its value at some future time > t 0 , or its future value is FV(P)=P(1+r), if r is the interest rate from 0 to t . • An accompanying concept is that of the net present value NPV . It is the present value of all the future payments minus the initial investment: suppose an investment I is made where an initial amount of A is made at time 0 , and payments P 1 , … , P n are returns as a result of this investment. Then NPV(I)=(PV(P_1)+PV(P_2)+⋯+PV(P_n))-A. IfwetreattheinitialinvsetmentAasa``negative′′return,A=-P_0=-PV(P_0),thenthenetpresentvalueoftheinvestmentcanbewrittenNPV(I)=PV(P0)+PV(P1)++PV(Pn)=i=0nPV(Pi).Onewouldusuallywanttoinvestinsomethingwithapositivenetpresentvalue.Netpresentvaluesarecommonlyusedwhenoneisinterestedincomparingcarloansorhomemortgages.Titlepresent valueCanonical namePresentValueDate of creation2013-03-22 16:40:59Last modified on2013-03-22 16:40:59OwnerCWoo (3771)Last modified byCWoo (3771)Numerical id9AuthorCWoo (3771)Entry typeDefinitionClassificationmsc 91B28Definesnet present valueDefinesfuture value